diff --git a/scripts/src/cicd-branch-follower.ts b/scripts/src/cicd-branch-follower.ts
index 3778fa7e..7290b8c2 100644
--- a/scripts/src/cicd-branch-follower.ts
+++ b/scripts/src/cicd-branch-follower.ts
@@ -635,6 +635,7 @@ async function applyController(registry: BranchFollowerRegistry, options: Parsed
 
 async function buildStatus(registry: BranchFollowerRegistry, options: ParsedOptions): Promise<Record<string, unknown>> {
   let k8s = readK8sState(registry, options);
+  const beforeRefreshStateByFollower = k8s.stateByFollower;
   const wantsLive = options.live || (!options.noLive && Object.keys(k8s.stateByFollower).length === 0);
   const refresh = wantsLive && !options.inCluster ? runControllerReconcileJob(registry, options, { dryRun: true, wait: true, recordState: true }) : null;
   if (refresh !== null) k8s = readK8sState(registry, options);
@@ -644,8 +645,9 @@ async function buildStatus(registry: BranchFollowerRegistry, options: ParsedOpti
   const detailedFollowers = options.followerId !== null || options.full;
   for (const follower of selected) {
     const stored = k8s.stateByFollower[follower.id] ?? {};
+    const fallbackStored = refresh === null ? {} : beforeRefreshStateByFollower[follower.id] ?? {};
     const live = shouldLive && follower.enabled ? await readAdapterStatus(registry, follower, options) : null;
-    followers.push(mergeFollowerStatus(registry, follower, stored, live, shouldLive, detailedFollowers));
+    followers.push(mergeFollowerStatus(registry, follower, stored, live, shouldLive, detailedFollowers, fallbackStored));
   }
   return {
     ok: k8s.ok && followers.every((item) => item.ok !== false),
@@ -666,6 +668,7 @@ async function buildStatus(registry: BranchFollowerRegistry, options: ParsedOpti
 
 async function runOnce(registry: BranchFollowerRegistry, options: ParsedOptions): Promise<Record<string, unknown>> {
   if (!options.inCluster) {
+    const before = readK8sState(registry, options);
     const refresh = runControllerReconcileJob(registry, options, { dryRun: options.dryRun, wait: true, recordState: true });
     const k8s = readK8sState(registry, options);
     const selected = selectFollowers(registry, options, { includeDisabled: false });
@@ -679,7 +682,7 @@ async function runOnce(registry: BranchFollowerRegistry, options: ParsedOptions)
       execution: "k8s-native-reconcile-job",
       registry: registrySummary(registry),
       job: refresh,
-      followers: selected.map((follower) => mergeFollowerStatus(registry, follower, k8s.stateByFollower[follower.id] ?? {}, null, false)),
+      followers: selected.map((follower) => mergeFollowerStatus(registry, follower, k8s.stateByFollower[follower.id] ?? {}, null, false, false, before.stateByFollower[follower.id] ?? {})),
       warnings: refresh.ok ? [] : [`reconcile job failed: ${refresh.message}`],
       next: {
         status: "bun scripts/cli.ts cicd branch-follower status",
@@ -1943,6 +1946,7 @@ function mergeFollowerStatus(
   live: AdapterSummary | null,
   liveRequested: boolean,
   detailed: boolean,
+  fallbackStored: Record<string, unknown> = {},
 ): Record<string, unknown> {
   const storedSource = asOptionalRecord(stored.source);
   const storedTarget = asOptionalRecord(stored.target);
@@ -1956,6 +1960,7 @@ function mergeFollowerStatus(
     observedSha,
     livePayload: asOptionalRecord(live?.payload),
     storedCommand: asOptionalRecord(stored.command),
+    fallbackStoredCommand: asOptionalRecord(fallbackStored.command),
   });
   const reconcileTimeline = compactReconcileTimeline(asOptionalRecord(stored.command)?.reconcileTimeline, follower.id) ?? {
     bounded: true,
diff --git a/scripts/src/cicd-evidence.ts b/scripts/src/cicd-evidence.ts
index 6259e195..9bbe097f 100644
--- a/scripts/src/cicd-evidence.ts
+++ b/scripts/src/cicd-evidence.ts
@@ -23,14 +23,14 @@ export function followerEvidenceSummary(input: {
   observedSha: string | null;
   livePayload: Record<string, unknown> | null;
   storedCommand: Record<string, unknown> | null;
+  fallbackStoredCommand?: Record<string, unknown> | null;
 }): Record<string, unknown> | null {
   const livePayload = input.livePayload;
   const storedPayload = asOptionalRecord(input.storedCommand?.payload);
-  const payload = livePayload ?? storedPayload;
-  if (payload === null) return null;
-  const tekton = asOptionalRecord(payload.tekton);
-  const pipeline = asOptionalRecord(payload.pipeline);
-  const refresh = asOptionalRecord(payload.refreshEvidence);
+  const fallbackStoredPayload = asOptionalRecord(input.fallbackStoredCommand?.payload);
+  const tekton = firstRecord(asOptionalRecord(livePayload?.tekton), asOptionalRecord(storedPayload?.tekton), asOptionalRecord(fallbackStoredPayload?.tekton));
+  const pipeline = firstRecord(asOptionalRecord(livePayload?.pipeline), asOptionalRecord(storedPayload?.pipeline), asOptionalRecord(fallbackStoredPayload?.pipeline));
+  const refresh = firstRecord(asOptionalRecord(storedPayload?.refreshEvidence), asOptionalRecord(fallbackStoredPayload?.refreshEvidence), asOptionalRecord(livePayload?.refreshEvidence));
   if (tekton === null && pipeline === null && refresh === null) return null;
   const pipelineRefName = stringOrNull(tekton?.pipelineRefName);
   const pipelineName = stringOrNull(asOptionalRecord(pipeline?.metadata)?.name);
@@ -39,6 +39,7 @@ export function followerEvidenceSummary(input: {
   return {
     pipelineRunRefName: pipelineRefName,
     pipeline,
+    refreshBoundedReason: refresh === null ? "missing-from-live-and-stored-evidence" : null,
     refresh: refresh === null
       ? null
       : {
@@ -50,6 +51,13 @@ export function followerEvidenceSummary(input: {
   };
 }
 
+function firstRecord(...values: Array<Record<string, unknown> | null>): Record<string, unknown> | null {
+  for (const value of values) {
+    if (value !== null) return value;
+  }
+  return null;
+}
+
 function asOptionalRecord(value: unknown): Record<string, unknown> | null {
   return typeof value === "object" && value !== null && !Array.isArray(value) ? value as Record<string, unknown> : null;
 }
diff --git a/scripts/src/cicd-render.ts b/scripts/src/cicd-render.ts
index 9dbbcd39..ec63ccf8 100644
--- a/scripts/src/cicd-render.ts
+++ b/scripts/src/cicd-render.ts
@@ -253,7 +253,15 @@ function evidenceRowsForFollower(item: Record<string, unknown>): unknown[][] {
     ]);
   }
   const refresh = asOptionalRecord(evidence.refresh);
-  if (refresh !== null) rows.push([item.id, "refresh", stringOrNull(refresh.status) ?? "-", `${shortSha(stringOrNull(refresh.sourceCommit))}/${boolMatch(refresh.pipelineRefMatches)}/${boolMatch(refresh.pipelineSpecMatches)}`, stringOrNull(refresh.pipeline) ?? "-"]);
+  rows.push([
+    item.id,
+    "refresh",
+    refresh === null ? "missing" : stringOrNull(refresh.status) ?? "-",
+    refresh === null
+      ? stringOrNull(evidence.refreshBoundedReason) ?? "-"
+      : `${shortSha(stringOrNull(refresh.sourceCommit))}/${boolMatch(refresh.pipelineRefMatches)}/${boolMatch(refresh.pipelineSpecMatches)}`,
+    refresh === null ? "-" : stringOrNull(refresh.pipeline) ?? "-",
+  ]);
   return rows;
 }